Iran does not fully control the Strait but disrupts shipping: Analysis

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have escalated, with Iran viewing recent moves as a serious escalation and warning of possible retaliation affecting regional shipping.

Talks in Islamabad remain uncertain, with Iran’s participation still unclear amid disputes over sanctions, blockades, and military pressure.

US analysts are divided: David DeRoches says Iran disrupts rather than controls the Strait, while Donald Heflin sees an ongoing stop-start negotiation process where a ceasefire is still possible despite tensions.

Key issues remain unresolved, including Iran’s nuclear programme, sanctions, frozen assets, and maritime security.

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